Despite calls for peace, Russian attacks on Ukraine have more than doubled since President Trump began his second term. Critics contend his policies may have emboldened Russia to intensify military actions while discussions of additional U.S. support for Ukraine continue amidst growing domestic dissatisfaction.
Surge in Russian Attacks on Ukraine Increases Post-Trump Inauguration

Surge in Russian Attacks on Ukraine Increases Post-Trump Inauguration
BBC Verify analysis reveals a substantial rise in Russian drone and missile strikes on Ukraine since the return of President Donald Trump to office, regardless of calls for a ceasefire.
Since Donald Trump took office again in January, Russian aerial assaults on Ukraine have skyrocketed, more than doubling in number compared to the last months of the Biden administration, according to a recent analysis by BBC Verify. This surge comes despite Trump's promises of swift peace negotiations and ceasefire calls amid rising tensions in the region.
Notably, Russian attacks had already begun to escalate while Joe Biden was still in office, yet after Trump's election victory, aerial incidents surged to unprecedented levels during the ongoing conflict. Trump, during his campaign, asserted that had he been president earlier, the current war could have been averted as Russia would have respected his leadership.
Critics have raised concerns that Trump's approach towards Russia has inadvertently favored the Kremlin and exacerbated the conflict. His administration's decisions to pause military aid—specifically air defense munitions—on two occasions earlier this year have drawn scrutiny, coinciding with an increase in Russia's missile and drone production. Reports reveal a staggering 66% rise in ballistic missile construction in Russia over the past year.
Overall data illustrates that from January 20 until July 19, Russian forces launched 27,158 munitions, compared to 11,614 during the final half-year of Biden's presidency. As the situation evolves, White House officials attribute the prolonged conflict to what they characterize as Biden's mismanagement, while also touting Trump’s intention to curtail violence through military support to NATO allies.
In contrast, analysts and lawmakers stress that Trump's strategy may have emboldened Russian aggression, endorsing the need for a robust U.S. response with increased military supplies to Ukraine. The growing attacks have fostered demands for advanced systems like the Patriot missile batteries, as the Kremlin reportedly amplifies production of both ballistic missiles and drones tailored for attacks on Ukrainian targets.
Amidst the renewed violence, Ukrainian morale has begun to wane as the ongoing conflict wears down public sentiment. Civilians in cities like Kyiv contend with the constant threat of air raids, leading to widespread fears and exhaustion from the drawn-out war. As the situation becomes more perilous, experts caution the need for sustained and intensified international backing to ensure Ukraine's defensive capabilities against a resurgent Russian military campaign.