**Tight Race Ahead of Canada's Election: Polls Show Converging Support for Major Parties**

Sun Apr 27 2025 05:10:17 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
**Tight Race Ahead of Canada's Election: Polls Show Converging Support for Major Parties**

As Election Day approaches, the competition between Canada's Liberal and Conservative parties is heating up with decreasing gaps in poll numbers.


With Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party holding a slight edge over the Conservative Party, it remains to be seen how the final votes will tally.

As Canada gears up for Election Day on Monday, polling data indicates a narrowing divide between the two leading parties. Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party is currently at 42% support, closely pursued by the Conservative Party led by Pierre Poilievre, which stands at 39%. This statistic depicts a shift from earlier in the month when the Liberals boasted a lead of nearly seven percentage points.

Experts in the field highlight that while national polling shows a tighter race, the overall distribution of votes points to the possibility of the Liberals gaining more seats in the House of Commons. Sébastien Dallaire, a prominent figure in Leger's polling firm, clarified that even a tied national vote could still favor the Liberal Party in terms of parliamentary representation.

Interestingly, although the Conservative Party has consistently won the popular vote in the last two elections, they have still faced loss due to geographic concentrations of support that result in fewer wins in contested districts. This trend might continue, as some analysts speculate that initial Conservative strength could be understated in final tallies, yet it may not be enough to overcome the Liberal's parliamentary seat advantage. Thus, the Liberals might still be in the lead heading into Election Day, despite the competitive margins observed in recent polls.

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