Burundi Elections: A Test of Power Amidst Economic Crisis

The CNDD-FDD party has been in power for 20 years, with elections approaching against a backdrop of rising inflation and political oppression. The elections will act as a barometer for the ruling party's support, as opposition voices face intimidation and economic struggles deepen.

Voters in Burundi are preparing for elections that are poised to test the grip of the ruling CNDD-FDD party, which has dominated the nation's political landscape for the past two decades. As the country grapples with soaring inflation, an alarming increase in fuel shortages, and increasing reports of political repression, the importance of these polls cannot be overstated.

While seats in the National Assembly, Senate, and local councils are contested, President Évariste Ndayishimiye remains secure in his position until his term concludes in 2027. However, economic pressures have intensified, as the East African nation, already struggling with poverty, sees further price spikes on essential goods like food.

Opposition groups have voiced alarm over the alleged harassment of their supporters by members of the ruling party's youth league, the Imbonerakure. Gabriel Banzawitonde, head of the APDR party, reported how fear has forced many to avoid displaying their party colors; despite this, he remains optimistic that voters will support him in private.

Political commentators are wary about discussing the elections, with one anonymous expert stating, "To avoid unnecessary trouble, you keep quiet," suggesting an overwhelming perception that the CNDD-FDD's victory is predetermined. In a notable shift, some party officials recently hinted at a preference for a one-party system, with Secretary-General Reverien Ndikuriyo making statements suggesting such a system could yield development.

The economic landscape in Burundi worsens under chronic shortages of foreign currency necessary for imports, leading to significant declines in trade activity. Current foreign currency reserves are alarmingly low, with just under a month’s worth available—far below the regional standard of four months.

Notable queues for fuel have become a common sight, with motorists often waiting for days to fill their tanks due to government restrictions. According to the World Bank, the average annual income for Burundians is a mere $193, the lowest within the East African Community.

Despite these dire conditions, the CNDD-FDD maintains a public narrative of progress, with President Ndayishimiye claiming improvements have been made since 2005 when he suggested citizens now have the means to invest in personal goods and housing. The ruling party often reminds citizens of its fight for the Hutu majority’s power after years of what they describe as oppression by the Tutsi minority.

As election day approaches, the air is thick with uncertainty and tension, leaving many to question the true state of democracy in Burundi.