Houthi Advance in Yemen Threatens Control of Red Sea Choke Point

The Houthis’ lightning advance across the southern reaches of the Tihamah, Yemen’s arid coastal plain, appears to have been a surprise to most observers.
For days the anti‑Houthi National Resistance coalition held significant territory along Yemen’s Red Sea coast. The rebels have now captured between 130 km (81 miles) of coastline, marking their most impressive maneuver in recent years. The losses are a beatdown for a country that has endured 12 years of civil war, relentless Saudi air raids, and strikes from U.S., Israeli and British forces.
According to senior European Institute of Peace analyst Hisham al‑Omeisi, “Now that they are there, they’re going to be entrenched” and that it will become much more expensive to push them out. The Houthis are not alone; Iran’s backing has become even more crucial in the wake of setbacks for the broader ‘Axis of Resistance’ that includes Hezbollah, Hamas and the Assad regime.
The capture of key islands, such as Perim in the narrowest point of the Bab al‑Mandab, could give the rebels a new ability to interfere in international shipping. Shipping in the Red Sea has been repeatedly targeted by Houthi missiles, drones and small attack boats, especially after Israel’s war on Gaza. Chief among the concerns is that control of the Bab al‑Mandab places the allies of Iran in a dominant position over traffic heading towards the Suez Canal.
The U.S., attempting to aid Saudi Arabia without direct military engagement, finds itself in an uneasy spot. A 2026 Ajax analysis notes the missed pleas for U.S. intervention by the Saudi Crown Prince and a potential new front that threatens U.S. approval ratings and mid‑term election prospects.
For Yemen’s heavily displaced and impoverished population, the continued conflict threatens already dire conditions, with every new territorial gain adding to famine, disease and infrastructure collapse. The international community faces a grim picture as the Houthi – empowered by Iran – advances further into a region that is already a flash point for global oil trade.

















